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	<title>Tom's Blog On Markets &#38; Investments &#187; forecasting</title>
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		<title>2 Things To Note About This Wicked Inventories Adjustment</title>
		<link>http://tom-davis.us/2009/06/11/2-things-to-note-about-this-wicked-inventories-adjustment/</link>
		<comments>http://tom-davis.us/2009/06/11/2-things-to-note-about-this-wicked-inventories-adjustment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 02:43:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Credit Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Add new tag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inventories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leading indicators]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tom-davis.us/?p=167</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Commerce Department today released the April number for business inventories.  The number dropped again to $1.385 trillion from a peak last August of $1.507 trillion.  That&#8217;s a peak to trough (so far) decline of 8.1% in just 8 months, over 1% per month.  Very steep.
Last recession (this data series only goes back to 1992) [...]]]></description>
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		<title>&#8220;Ability To Forecast Results&#8221; Is #1 Concern of CFOs</title>
		<link>http://tom-davis.us/2009/04/30/ability-to-forecast-results-is-1-concern-of-cfos/</link>
		<comments>http://tom-davis.us/2009/04/30/ability-to-forecast-results-is-1-concern-of-cfos/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 12:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tom</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prediction Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictive modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenario planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wargaming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wisdom of Crowds]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[So says the April, 2009 CFO magazine.  I guess this is not shocking news, given the economic and financial turmoil we have been through in the last year.  And anecdotal evidence from suppliers of  scenario planning services indicate demand is on the rise.  People specializing in predictive analytics and predictive modeling are certainly in big demand.
Uncertainty, [...]]]></description>
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